📈 Extrapolated Data (2021-2024)
Methodology: Core mapping array derived from 4-year historical average
- Data Period: 2021-2024 water years
- Source: USGS daily values for the Lowell gage
- Coverage: 500 CFS to 15,000+ CFS at Lowell
- Corresponding USFS Paradise observations: 0.36 ft to 8+ ft
- Quality: High confidence - based on multiple years of paired observations
📈 Primary Data USFS Paradise gage
- USFS Paradise observations: updated daily between 8 - 10 am. April - August
- USFS starts publishing the Daily Paradise observations. Unknown start date
📈 Primary Data Source (2026 recalibration)
Methodology: Direct paired observations from a low-water year
- Data Period: April–August 2026
- Source: USGS daily-mean CFS at Lowell (13336500) + USFS Paradise staff-gage readings
- Coverage: ~730 CFS to 16,000+ CFS at Lowell
- Corresponding Paradise heights: 0.5 ft to 5.6 ft
- Quality: High confidence in the low-flow range — based on actual concurrent observations
🔍 Technical Details
- Gage Locations: Selway River at Lowell, ID → Paradise put-in (upstream ~46–60 river miles)
- Relationship: Lowell daily-mean CFS mapped to same-day Paradise height
- Update Frequency: Conversion table rebuilt from 2026 paired data; live estimate uses current Lowell CFS
- Notes: Values at 300, 350, 400, 450, 486 are extrapolated.
- Updated: 2025-08-25. Author: Grant Amaral
⚠️ Cutoffs
Low Water Cutoffs by watercraft:
- This is a broad brush. I scoured the www for opinions and trip reports for this.
- For general reference
- The matching logic is < not <=
- The cutoffs from 0.2 to 0.5 and 0.6 to 0.9 are big jumps. Treat them accordingly.
- Confidence Level: Low - A wide range of opinions and limited low-water trip reports.
💡 Usage Notes
- Values above 500 CFS: High reliability (4-year average)
- Values 300-499 CFS: Use with caution (extrapolated)
- Below 300 CFS: No data available - contact for updates
- All heights in feet above arbitrary datum
🔍 Change Log
- Version 2.0 August 2025.
- In 2025 I noticed a spike in web traffic on the Selway page on kayakidaho.com. I spent a couple days mapping the lowell cfs to the paradise stick gage observations. This page is the result.
- The USFS now publishes the Paradise daily height readings on Selway Bitterroot
- Version 1.3 of the Lowell–Paradise conversion is derived from a July 2014 rating table published by the USFS Bitterroot field office.
- Version 0.1 2005, lowell-2-paradise conversion was derived from the 2004 xls sheet by Chris Dawkins on the now defunct Yahoo Idaho Whitewater Group. (Thanks!)
- I hope you find this useful. Suggestions or corrections, please contact me.